Optical turbulence simulations over the Tibetan Plateau based on a single-column model with high-order closure

Optical turbulence limits the maximum resolution of ground-based telescopes and leads to image degradation. The use of atmospheric numerical techniques to forecast optical turbulence is crucial for observation scheduling and optimization of adaptive optic systems. Current research methods for forecasting optical turbulence are primarily based on mesoscale models with turbulence closure techniques to parameterize the key terms required for <i>C</i> <i>n</i>2 calculations under the assumption of atmospheric quasi-steady-state balance, and then the integrated astroclimatic parameters related to <i>C</i> <i>n</i>2 profile can be obtained. In this study, we propose what we believe to be a novel approach to forecast <i>C</i> <i>n</i>2 using a boundary layer parameterization based on higher-order turbulence closure in the single-column framework of the CLUBB model. Compared to mesoscale models, the CLUBB model serves as a single-column model, which simplifies modifications and reduces compilation time, and is more conducive to testing the performance of <i>C</i> <i>n</i>2 parameterization scheme. In the design of <i>C</i> <i>n</i>2 parameterization scheme, we consider a more complete physical process rather than omitting certain terms to obtain a steady-state solution. The performance of the model is evaluated using measurements obtained during a field campaign conducted at Da Qaidam site above the Tibetan Plateau. The results show that the model is able to capture typical features of the <i>C</i> <i>n</i>2 profile evolution under convective conditions. Comparison of the model with contemporaneous sounding measurements and quantification of the model's performance using statistical operators demonstrate the statistical agreement between simulations and measurements. In terms of atmospheric seeing, we can observe a bias of 0.01 and a root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 0.31 without any model calibration, which outperforms the results of previous mesoscale modeling studies. In addition, the new parameterization scheme is also compared with two representative <i>C</i> <i>n</i>2 algorithms previously used in the mesoscale models, with some improvements observed. The potential demonstrated by this approach is expected to bring greater value and advancement to the research of three-dimensional forecasting of optical turbulence in the future by coupling with the mesoscale model.