A new generalized statistical model for continuous decisions under stochastic constraints and bounded rationality

• This paper develops a statistical modeling approach for continuous choice problems. • The choice set is a continuous space characterized by stochastic constraints. • We propose continuous choice distributions to describe decision-makers’ behavior. • The distributions reflect the underlying mechanism that drives decision-makings. This paper develops a new generalized statistical modeling approach for choice problems where decision-makers are faced with a continuous set of alternatives. In the existing literature, decision-making behavior is usually analyzed in the context where there are only a few discrete alternatives from which decision-makers may choose. This paper generalizes this approach and investigates the scenario where the choice set of decision-makers is a continuous space characterized by stochastic nonlinear constraints. We develop a family of choice distributions to describe decision-makers’ choice behavior for continuous decision-making problems under stochastic constraints and bounded rationality. The proposed choice distribution family provides a generic statistical modeling and prediction approach based on the underlying mechanism that drives the decision-making process to reflect a trade-off between conflicting decision criteria and resource constraints. Finally, two case studies are used to illustrate the developed method.

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Publication Details

Journal
Transportation Research Part B Methodological
Published
2024-10-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trb.2024.103096
Primary Topic
Multi-Criteria Decision Making
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

A new generalized statistical model for continuous decisions under stochastic constraints and bounded rationality

Baibing Li
Transportation Research Part B Methodological
Multi-Criteria Decision Making
article

A new generalized statistical model for continuous decisions under stochastic constraints and bounded rationality

Baibing Li
article en

Abstract

• This paper develops a statistical modeling approach for continuous choice problems. • The choice set is a continuous space characterized by stochastic constraints. • We propose continuous choice distributions to describe decision-makers’ behavior. • The distributions reflect the underlying mechanism that drives decision-makings. This paper develops a new generalized statistical modeling approach for choice problems where decision-makers are faced with a continuous set of alternatives. In the existing literature, decision-making behavior is usually analyzed in the context where there are only a few discrete alternatives from which decision-makers may choose. This paper generalizes this approach and investigates the scenario where the choice set of decision-makers is a continuous space characterized by stochastic nonlinear constraints. We develop a family of choice distributions to describe decision-makers’ choice behavior for continuous decision-making problems under stochastic constraints and bounded rationality. The proposed choice distribution family provides a generic statistical modeling and prediction approach based on the underlying mechanism that drives the decision-making process to reflect a trade-off between conflicting decision criteria and resource constraints. Finally, two case studies are used to illustrate the developed method.

Transportation Research Part B MethodologicalVol. 190
Loughborough University (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 79%
Multi-Criteria Decision Making
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