The complex chemical effects of air pollutants, meteorology and dust on the concentrations of criteria and non-criteria air pollution in Kuwait

Air pollution is the leading environmental health risk factor globally. A number of cities experienced improvements in air quality during the COVID-19 lockdown; however such changes depend on the contributions from natural and anthropogenic sources and meteorological factors pertaining to each city. This study investigated the effects of anthropogenic and meteorological factors on air quality in Kuwait during the COVID-19 lockdown (22 March–10 May 2020) using mixed-effect regression and machine learning models. Criteria (PM2.5, PM10, NO2, O3, SO2, CO) and non-criteria (C6H6, NH3, H2S, NMHC) air pollutants were compared between the lockdown period, and the same period in the preceding and the following years, 2019 and 2021, respectively. The results showed that during the lockdown three criteria air pollutants (PM2.5, NO2, CO) were reduced by 38, 40, 26%, respectively. All no-criteria air pollutants were reduced, except for H2S. The arid region’s harsh desert conditions have major contributions to particulate pollution. Although PM levels are overwhelmed by meteorological and natural dust, stringent abatement measures on oil/gas hydrocarbon and power plant emissions can significantly reduce PM and other pollutants. Abatement measures on traffic pollution can further reduce the NO2 levels. This study highlights Kuwait's ongoing struggle with elevated levels of particulate and gaseous pollution, driven by hydrocarbon emissions and dust. Effectively tackling air quality requires a nuanced understanding of the interplay between air pollutants, meteorological, and dust covariates.