Color polymorphic carnivores have faster speciation rates

Variation in coat color is a prominent feature in carnivores, thought to be shaped by environmental factors. As new traits could allow populations to occupy novel niches and habitats, color polymorphism may be maintained by balancing selection. Consequently, color polymorphic species may speciate more rapidly and can give rise to monomorphic daughter species. We thus predicted that, within the Carnivora, (i) speciation rate is higher in polymorphic lineages, (ii) divergence between color polymorphic lineages is more recent, and (iii) within closely related groups, polymorphic lineages are ancestral and monomorphic lineages derived. We also tested whether accelerated speciation rates relate to niche breadth, measured by the number of occupied habitats and range size. We collected data of 48 polymorphic and 192 monomorphic carnivore species, and assessed speciation rates using phylogenetic comparative methods. We found that polymorphic carnivores had higher speciation rates (λ₁ = 0.29, SD = 0.13) than monomorphic species (λ₀ = 0.053, SD = 0.044). Hidden and quantitative state speciation and extinction models inferred that color polymorphism was the main contributing factor, and that niche breadth was not of influence. Therefore, other selective forces than spatial niche segregation, such as predator-prey coevolution, may contribute to color polymorphism in wild carnivores.