The flyway construct and assessment of offshore wind farm impacts on migratory marine fauna

Abstract The flyway construct was developed in the 1930s to protect networks of bird stopover habitats along annual migration circuits. Here flyway is conceived as a quantifiable vector, a construct of the seasonal velocity and the geographic route taken among networked habitats, generalizable among marine migratory animals, and a way forward in assessing regional offshore wind (OW) development impacts. OW development in the South and East China Sea, North Sea, and US Mid-Atlantic Bight will result in thousands of offshore wind turbines that transect coastal and shelf flyways, not only for birds but also for fishes, sea turtles, and marine mammals. With increased capacity to fully measure the extent and dynamics of migrations through electronic tracking and observing systems, avian-like behaviors are apparent for whales, turtles, and fishes, such as stopover behaviors, migration synchrony, and partial migration. Modeled northwest Atlantic flyways (migration vectors) for northern gannets, striped bass, and North Atlantic right whale quantified seasonal speed, persistence, and variance during seasonal migration phases. From these flyway models, a series of flyway metrics are proposed that lend themselves to hypothesis-testing, dynamic habitat models, and before–after impact assessment. The flyway approach represents a departure from current impact designs, which are dominated by local OW farm studies and, at regional dimensions, survey-based (Eulerian) data structures (overlap models). As a next step, we encourage colleagues to develop flyway databases and test flyway hypotheses for model species.