Voters distrust delayed election results, but a prebunking message inoculates against distrust

Counting and certifying election results in the United States can take days and even weeks following election day. These delays are often linked to distrust in elections but does delay <i>cause</i> distrust? What can election officials do to counteract distrust if counting most ballots and announcing results cannot occur on election night? Using a preregistered survey experiment of nearly 10,000 Americans, this article shows that informing voters about longer-than-expected vote counting time induces a large, significant decrease in trust in the election. However, viewing a "prebunking" video in advance of being informed of the delay in results more than makes up for the delay-induced decrease in election trust. Our findings have two important implications. First, unexpected delays in calling elections induce distrust even without misinformation from third parties. Second, providing voters with information about vote counting and the legitimate reasons for delays increases trust and mitigates the distrust induced by delays.

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Publication Details

Journal
PNAS Nexus
Published
2024-10-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae414
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Misinformation and Its Impacts
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
3.40

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article

Voters distrust delayed election results, but a prebunking message inoculates against distrust

Mackenzie Lockhart, Seth J. Hill, Thad Kousser, Mindy Romero et al.
3 citations
PNAS Nexus
Misinformation and Its Impacts
3.40
article

Voters distrust delayed election results, but a prebunking message inoculates against distrust

Mackenzie Lockhart, Seth J. Hill, Thad Kousser, Mindy Romero, Jennifer Gaudette, Laura Uribe
article en
3 citations

Abstract

Counting and certifying election results in the United States can take days and even weeks following election day. These delays are often linked to distrust in elections but does delay <i>cause</i> distrust? What can election officials do to counteract distrust if counting most ballots and announcing results cannot occur on election night? Using a preregistered survey experiment of nearly 10,000 Americans, this article shows that informing voters about longer-than-expected vote counting time induces a large, significant decrease in trust in the election. However, viewing a "prebunking" video in advance of being informed of the delay in results more than makes up for the delay-induced decrease in election trust. Our findings have two important implications. First, unexpected delays in calling elections induce distrust even without misinformation from third parties. Second, providing voters with information about vote counting and the legitimate reasons for delays increases trust and mitigates the distrust induced by delays.

PNAS NexusVol. 3(10)
University of Southern California (US), Yale University (US), University of California San Diego (US)
University of California, San Diego
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Misinformation and Its Impacts
3.40
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Voters distrust delayed election results, but a prebunking message inoculates against distrust — Mackenzie Lockhart, Seth J. Hill, et al. · PNAS Nexus (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS