Research on Passenger Flow Prediction Method of New High-speed Railway Line Based on Analogy Method

It’s important both in theory and reality for railway passenger transport organization to predict the passenger flow of newly-built high-speed railway lines accurately and reasonably. It proposes a new line passenger flow prediction method based on analogy, and takes the Lunan high-speed rail as a case to elaborate on the realization of key steps including selection of lines for analog, assignment of station attraction range and classification of stations, parameter fitting and passenger flow prediction. The prediction result shows that the method has good accuracy and operability.