Evaluation of the Performance of Kernel Non-parametric Regression and Ordinary Least Squares Regression

Researchers need to understand the differences between parametric and nonparametric regression models and how they work with available information about the relationship between response and explanatory variables and the distribution of random errors. This paper proposes a new nonparametric regression function for the kernel and employs it with the Nadaraya-Watson kernel estimator method and the Gaussian kernel function. The proposed kernel function (AMS) is then compared to the Gaussian kernel and the traditional parametric method, the ordinary least squares method (OLS). The objective of this study is to examine the effectiveness of nonparametric regression and identify the best-performing model when employing the Nadaraya-Watson kernel estimator method with the proposed kernel function (AMS), the Gaussian kernel, and the ordinary least squares (OLS) method. Additionally, it determines which method yields the most accurate results when analyzing nonparametric regression models and provides valuable insights for practitioners looking to apply these techniques in real-world scenarios. However, criteria such as generalized cross-validation (GCV), mean square error (MSE), and coefficient determination are used to select the most efficient estimated model. Simulated data was used to evaluate the performance and efficiency of estimators using different sample sizes. The results favorable the simulation illustrate that the Nadaraya-Watson kernel estimator using the proposed kernel function (AMS) exhibited favorable and superior performance compared to other methods. The coefficients of determination indicate that the highest values attained were 98%, 99%, and 99%. The proposed function (AMS) yielded the lowest MSE and GCV values across all samples. Therefore, this suggests that the model can generate precise predictions and enhance the performance of the focused data.