Capturing the Dynamics of Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC) in Tidal Saltmarsh Estuaries Using Remote‐Sensing‐Informed Models

Abstract The fluxes of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) through tidal marsh‐influenced estuaries remain poorly quantified and have been identified as a missing component in carbon‐cycle models. The extreme variability inherent to these ecosystems of the land‐ocean interface challenge our ability to capture DOC‐concentration dynamics and to calculate accurate DOC fluxes. In situ discrete and continuous measurements provide high‐quality estimates of DOC concentration, but these strategies are constrained spatially and temporally and can be costly to operate. Here, field measurements and high‐spatial‐resolution remote sensing were used to train and validate a predictive model of DOC‐concentration distributions in the Plum Island Estuary (PIE), a mesotidal saltmarsh‐influenced estuary in Massachusetts. A large set of field measurements collected between 2017 and 2023 was used to develop and validate an empirical algorithm to retrieve DOC concentration with a ±15% uncertainty from Sentinel‐2 imagery. Implementation on 141 useable images produced a 6‐year time series (2017–2023) of DOC distributions along the thalweg. Analysis of the time series helped identify river discharge, tidal water level (WL), and a marsh enhanced vegetation index 2 as predictors of DOC distribution in the estuary, and facilitated the training and validation of a simple model estimating the distribution. This simple model was able to predict DOC along the PIE thalweg within ±16% of the in situ measurements. Implementation for three years (2020–2022) illustrated how this type of remote‐sensing‐informed models can be coupled with the outputs hydrodynamic models to calculate DOC fluxes in tidal marsh‐influenced estuaries and estimate DOC export to the coastal ocean.