Identifying the number of latent factors of stochastic volatility models

Abstract We provide a procedure to identify the number of latent factors of stochastic volatility models. The methodology relies on the non-parametric Fourier estimation method introduced by Malliavin and Mancino (Finance Stoch 4:49–61, 2002) and applies to high-frequency data. Based on the Fourier analysis, we first estimate the latent volatility process and then the volatilities and covariances of the processes that are gradually identified, such as volatility of volatility and leverage. The analysis of the eigenvalue spectrum of the Gram matrix can reveal information about the actual number of factors driving the process at hand. We corroborate our analysis by numerical simulations on single and multi factor models. Finally, we apply our methodology to intraday prices from the S &P 500 index futures.

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Publication Details

Journal
Decisions in Economics and Finance
Published
2024-10-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10203-024-00479-5
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Stochastic processes and financial applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.62

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article

Identifying the number of latent factors of stochastic volatility models

Erindi Allaj, Maria Elvira Mancino, Simona Sanfelici
3 citations
Decisions in Economics and Finance
Stochastic processes and financial applications
1.62
article

Identifying the number of latent factors of stochastic volatility models

Erindi Allaj, Maria Elvira Mancino, Simona Sanfelici
article en
3 citations

Abstract

Abstract We provide a procedure to identify the number of latent factors of stochastic volatility models. The methodology relies on the non-parametric Fourier estimation method introduced by Malliavin and Mancino (Finance Stoch 4:49–61, 2002) and applies to high-frequency data. Based on the Fourier analysis, we first estimate the latent volatility process and then the volatilities and covariances of the processes that are gradually identified, such as volatility of volatility and leverage. The analysis of the eigenvalue spectrum of the Gram matrix can reveal information about the actual number of factors driving the process at hand. We corroborate our analysis by numerical simulations on single and multi factor models. Finally, we apply our methodology to intraday prices from the S &P 500 index futures.

Decisions in Economics and FinanceVol. 48(1)
University of Parma (IT), Istituto Nazionale di Alta Matematica Francesco Severi (IT)
Università degli Studi di Parma
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 15%
Stochastic processes and financial applications
1.62
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Identifying the number of latent factors of stochastic volatility models — Erindi Allaj, Maria Elvira Mancino, et al. · Decisions in Economics and Finance (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS