Dynamics and function projection synchronization for the fractional-order financial risk system

The real financial market has long-term memory and complexity characteristics. To describe a more realistic financial risk management process , this paper introduces Caputo fractional derivative to construct a fractional-order financial risk system (FFRS). Adomian decomposition method is applied to get numerical solutions of the FFRS. The effects of order and parameters on system dynamics are investigated through bifurcation diagrams , Lyapunov exponents spectrum and spectral entropy complexity. The results show the range of chaotic state is smaller or the largest Lyapunov exponent is reduced at suitable order and parameters. The dynamic results are explained by real financial risk management process. In addition, state transition phenomenon of the FFRS is discussed. To control and predict the system in chaotic state, the function projection synchronization is applied. Dynamics and synchronization of the system have reference significance for financial risk management.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Chaos Solitons & Fractals
Published
2024-10-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2024.115599
Citations
8
Primary Topic
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
9.03

Funders

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article

Dynamics and function projection synchronization for the fractional-order financial risk system

Kehui Sun, Huihai Wang, Zhao Xu
8 citations
Chaos Solitons & Fractals
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
9.03
article

Dynamics and function projection synchronization for the fractional-order financial risk system

Kehui Sun, Huihai Wang, Zhao Xu
article en
8 citations

Abstract

The real financial market has long-term memory and complexity characteristics. To describe a more realistic financial risk management process , this paper introduces Caputo fractional derivative to construct a fractional-order financial risk system (FFRS). Adomian decomposition method is applied to get numerical solutions of the FFRS. The effects of order and parameters on system dynamics are investigated through bifurcation diagrams , Lyapunov exponents spectrum and spectral entropy complexity. The results show the range of chaotic state is smaller or the largest Lyapunov exponent is reduced at suitable order and parameters. The dynamic results are explained by real financial risk management process. In addition, state transition phenomenon of the FFRS is discussed. To control and predict the system in chaotic state, the function projection synchronization is applied. Dynamics and synchronization of the system have reference significance for financial risk management.

Chaos Solitons & FractalsVol. 188
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Openalex Percentile: Top 3%
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
9.03
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Dynamics and function projection synchronization for the fractional-order financial risk system — Kehui Sun, Huihai Wang, et al. · Chaos Solitons & Fractals (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS