Extinction Dynamics and Equilibrium Patterns in Stochastic Epidemic Model for Norovirus: Role of Temporal Immunity and Generalized Incidence Rates
Norovirus is a leading global cause of viral gastroenteritis, significantly affecting mortality, morbidity, and healthcare costs. This paper develops and analyzes a stochastic SEIQR epidemic model for norovirus dynamics, incorporating temporal immunity and a generalized incidence rate. The model is proven to have a unique positive global solution, with extinction conditions explored. Using Khasminskii’s method, the model’s ergodicity and equilibrium distribution are investigated, demonstrating a unique ergodic stationary distribution when R^s>1. Extinction occurs when R0E<1. Computer simulations confirm that noise level significantly influences epidemic spread.
Authors
- Yongsheng Rao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9615-3658)
- Qura Tul Ain (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4442-4756)
- Xiaoli Qiang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9328-0774)
- Xiaolong Shi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1838-8643)
- Saeed Kosari (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1427-5473)
- Zheng Kou (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4758-2872)
Institutions
- Guangzhou University (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Fractal and Fractional
- Published
- 2024-10-03
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract8100586
- Citations
- 3
- Primary Topic
- Viral gastroenteritis research and epidemiology
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 1.17
Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China