Asymptotic approaches in inverse problems for depolymerization estimation

Depolymerisation reactions constitute frequent experiments, for instance in biochemistry for the study of amyloid fibrils. The quantities experimentally observed are related to the time dynamics of a quantity averaged over all polymer sizes, such as the total polymerised mass or the mean size of particles. The question analysed here is to link this measurement to the initial size distribution. To do so, we first derive from the initial reaction system, two asymptotic models: At first order, a backward transport equation, and at second order, an advection-diffusion/Fokker-Planck equation complemented with a mixed boundary condition at the origin. We estimate their distance to the original system solution. We then turn to the inverse problem, i.e., how to estimate the initial size distribution from the time measurement of an average quantity, given by a moment of the solution. This question has been studied for the first order asymptotic model, and we analyse here the second order asymptotic. Thanks to Carleman inequalities and log-convexity estimates, we prove observability results and error estimates for a Tikhonov regularization. We then develop a Kalman-based observer approach, and implement it on simulated observations. Despite its severely ill-posed character, the second-order approach appears numerically more accurate than the first-order one.