Forecasting the regional economy based on the interrelation between human capital and innovativ activities

The most important condition for ensuring the competitiveness of the regional economy of a post-industrial society and its transition to an innovative development path is human capital. The authors proposed a method for forecasting the regional economy based on the relationship between human capital and innovation activity. This forecast was based on multivariate linear models. Unlike other methods of forecasting the regional economy, the author's method takes into account the synergistic effect from the possible cooperation of the leading regions. This technique has been tested on the example of forecasting the regional economies of the leaders of the Volga Federal District (the Republic of Tatarstan, the Republic of Bashkortostan, the Nizhny Novgorod region) for 2022–2027.