Behavioral responses to inheritance taxes: Evidence from Brazil

I examine behavioral responses to inheritance and gift taxes in a setting where individuals knew the tax would increase three months before the new tax code took effect. Using tax microdata from Brazil, I employ bunching and difference-in-differences (DD) methods and find that individuals significantly retime their wealth transfers to avoid taxes. Retimed gifts resulted in smaller inheritances for nearly three years. Moreover, I find that responses are sensitive to changes in top gift marginal tax rates and tax design (flat rates vs progressive brackets). Finally, evasion increased in the medium run in reform states, particularly among small inheritances.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Public Economics
Published
2026-07-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2026.105720
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Behavioral responses to inheritance taxes: Evidence from Brazil

Gedeao Locks
2 citations
Journal of Public Economics
Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis
article

Behavioral responses to inheritance taxes: Evidence from Brazil

Gedeao Locks
article en
2 citations

Abstract

I examine behavioral responses to inheritance and gift taxes in a setting where individuals knew the tax would increase three months before the new tax code took effect. Using tax microdata from Brazil, I employ bunching and difference-in-differences (DD) methods and find that individuals significantly retime their wealth transfers to avoid taxes. Retimed gifts resulted in smaller inheritances for nearly three years. Moreover, I find that responses are sensitive to changes in top gift marginal tax rates and tax design (flat rates vs progressive brackets). Finally, evasion increased in the medium run in reform states, particularly among small inheritances.

Journal of Public EconomicsVol. 261
German Institute for Economic Research (DE)
Agence Nationale de la Recherche
Openalex Percentile: Top 100%
Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis
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