Solar Radiation Prediction in PV Power Systems: a Comparison of Deep Learning Models Using Big Data

Photovoltaic (PV) energy systems are one of the most significant renewable resources, requiring efficient solutions for solar power generation and maintenance. Accurately predicting PV energy generation and solar radiation is essential for managing grid maintenance and making energy market decisions. This study proposes prediction models based on the use of deep learning, including convolutional neural networks (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, to fill the gap in big data analysis as more renewable energy data is collected. These models will be compared with traditional machine learning methods including Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Support Vector Regression (SVR). Data from the GAPYENEV Centre at the University of Harran is used to implement predictive models. Several prediction error metrics such as MAE, MSE, RMSE, R2 and accuracy are used to evaluate the predictive ability of the models.

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Publication Details

Journal
Proceedings of the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences
Published
2024-09-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.7546/crabs.2024.09.10
Primary Topic
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Solar Radiation Prediction in PV Power Systems: a Comparison of Deep Learning Models Using Big Data

Fatma Didem Alay, Nagehan İlhan, M. Tahir Güllüoğlu
Proceedings of the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
article

Solar Radiation Prediction in PV Power Systems: a Comparison of Deep Learning Models Using Big Data

Fatma Didem Alay, Nagehan İlhan, M. Tahir Güllüoğlu
article en

Abstract

Photovoltaic (PV) energy systems are one of the most significant renewable resources, requiring efficient solutions for solar power generation and maintenance. Accurately predicting PV energy generation and solar radiation is essential for managing grid maintenance and making energy market decisions. This study proposes prediction models based on the use of deep learning, including convolutional neural networks (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, to fill the gap in big data analysis as more renewable energy data is collected. These models will be compared with traditional machine learning methods including Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Support Vector Regression (SVR). Data from the GAPYENEV Centre at the University of Harran is used to implement predictive models. Several prediction error metrics such as MAE, MSE, RMSE, R2 and accuracy are used to evaluate the predictive ability of the models.

Proceedings of the Bulgarian Academy of SciencesVol. 77(9)
Harran University (TR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 85%
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
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