Postoperative, but Not Preoperative, MELD-3.0 Prognosticates 3-Month Procedural Success in Patients Undergoing Orthotopic Heart Transplantation
<b>Background/Objectives</b>: Multi-organ failure (MOF) often complicates advanced heart failure (HF), contributing to a poor prognosis. The Model of End-Stage Liver Disease 3.0 (MELD-3.0) scale incorporates liver and kidney function parameters. This study aims to evaluate the prognostic significance of the MELD-3.0 score in patients with advanced HF who have undergone heart transplantation (HTx). <b>Methods</b>: The MELD-3.0 score was computed using the average values of the international normalized ratio and bilirubin, creatinine, sodium, and albumin levels during a hospital stay following HTx. The average MELD-3.0 scores from the period of 1 month preceding HTx and 1 week after HTx were analyzed. The primary endpoint of the study was the 6-month total mortality, and the secondary endpoint was ICU hospitalization time after HTx. <b>Results</b>: The analysis included 106 patients undergoing HTx, with a median age of 53 years (44-63), 81% of whom were male. Within 6 months post-HTx, 17 patients (16%) died; those patients had a higher 1-week post-HTx MELD-3.0 score of 18.3 (14.5-22.7) in comparison to survivors, whose average score was 13.9 (9.5-16.4), <i>p</i> < 0.01. There was no difference in MELD 3.0 score in the pre-HTx period: 16.6 (11.4-17.8) vs. 12.3 (8.6-17.1), <i>p</i> = 0.36. The post-HTx MELD-3.0 score independently predicted death: RR 1.17 (95% CI 1.05-1.30), <i>p</i> < 0.01. A Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) determined the cut-off value of the MELD-3.0 score as 17.3 (AUC = 0.83; sensitivity-67%; specificity-86%). Survivors with scores above this value had a longer ICU hospitalization time: 7 (5.0-11.0) vs. 12 (8-20) days (<i>p</i> = 0.01). <b>Conclusions</b>: The post-HTx MELD-3.0 score serves as an independent predictor of an unfavorable prognosis in patients with advanced HF undergoing HTx. The evaluation of MELD-3.0 scores provides additional prognostic information in this population.
Authors
- Magdalena Cielecka (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3779-6658)
- R. Mania (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0001-6981-0832)
- Roman Przybylski (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2399-5111)
- Jakub Ptak (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3357-9253)
- Mateusz Wilk (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0000-3159-5228)
- Michał Zakliczyńśki (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5730-019X)
- Dominik Krupka (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0009-0944-4074)
- Maciej Bochenek (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0338-6482)
- Mateusz Sokolski (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9925-3566)
- Joanna Gontarczyk (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0002-7512-8853)
- P Byszuk (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0008-5543-9754)
- Paulina Makowska
- Mateusz Rakowski
- Anna Boluk
Institutions
- Wroclaw Medical University (PL)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Journal of Clinical Medicine
- Published
- 2024-09-28
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm13195816
- Primary Topic
- Liver Disease and Transplantation
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00