Measuring Stock Market Risk with Correlation

In this report, we investigate the systemic risk via capturing the correlation between the individual stocks and the market. In particular, we consider eight stocks (Microsoft, Exxon Mobil, Caterpillar, Johnson& Johnson, McDonald’s, Sandisk, Qualcomm, and Procter & Gamble) and we employ the S&P 500 as the market return. We first evaluate the risk of each individual stock using different risk metrics, e.g., variance (StD), minimax range, and Sharpe Ratio. Furthermore, we employ the regression approach (or beta method) to evaluate the correlation between each individual stock return and the market return, and also compute the R2 that measures the explainability level of the market information to each individual stock return. We conclude that Caterpillar has the largest sharpe value, and McDonald’s has the largest R square value.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Global Economics and Management
Published
2024-09-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.62051/ijgem.v4n2.38
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
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article

Measuring Stock Market Risk with Correlation

Liuboyan Bryan
International Journal of Global Economics and Management
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

Measuring Stock Market Risk with Correlation

Liuboyan Bryan
article en

Abstract

In this report, we investigate the systemic risk via capturing the correlation between the individual stocks and the market. In particular, we consider eight stocks (Microsoft, Exxon Mobil, Caterpillar, Johnson& Johnson, McDonald’s, Sandisk, Qualcomm, and Procter & Gamble) and we employ the S&P 500 as the market return. We first evaluate the risk of each individual stock using different risk metrics, e.g., variance (StD), minimax range, and Sharpe Ratio. Furthermore, we employ the regression approach (or beta method) to evaluate the correlation between each individual stock return and the market return, and also compute the R2 that measures the explainability level of the market information to each individual stock return. We conclude that Caterpillar has the largest sharpe value, and McDonald’s has the largest R square value.

International Journal of Global Economics and ManagementVol. 4(2)
Jiuquan Iron & Steel (China) (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 80%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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