Time to lymphoma treatment within 24 months in ‘watch and wait’ follicular lymphoma is associated with inferior outcomes: A multicentre analysis
Some 'watch and wait' (W&W) FL patients suffer from rapid progression in a short term. Herein, we sought to identify these patients and also develop a risk score to screen them at diagnosis. Between 2008 and 2022, a total of 411 FL patients managed by the W&W strategy from 16 cancer centres were retrospectively enrolled in this study, and their time to lymphoma treatment (TLT) and progression-free survival (PFS) were evaluated. Thirty-five percent of W&W FL patients experienced TLT within 24 months (TLT24) after diagnosis. Their 5-year PFS rate was significantly lower than those without treatment at 24 months (62.3% vs. 89.5%). In multivariable analysis, five factors were identified as independent predictors of TLT24: stages III-IV, β<sub>2</sub> microglobulin ≥3 mg/L, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio <3.8, bone marrow involvement and spleen enlargement (above umbilical line). Their AUCs for TLT24 were 0.76 (95% CI, 0.70-0.82) in the training cohort and 0.76 (95% CI, 0.67-0.85) in the validation cohort respectively. Risk groups were also associated with PFS (p < 0.001). In FL patients initially managed by W&W, TLT24 was associated with poor outcomes. This multivariable model helps screening for predicting TLT24, which may be useful to identify candidates for early interventional treatment.
Authors
- Lihua Qiu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4637-1811)
- Jiesong Wang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6846-0079)
- Zhiming Li (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9730-9917)
- Liqun Zou (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0003-1349-920X)
- Bing Xu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4273-5462)
- Fenghua Gao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5557-7582)
- Hui Zhou (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9909-5051)
- Lanfang Li (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7510-8751)
- Xianhuo Wang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7663-2923)
- Rong Tao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5766-1625)
- Ou Bai (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4066-9473)
- Zhengzi Qian (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2924-3212)
- Tingting Zhang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6575-6250)
- Lihong Liu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2610-1059)
- Wei Zhang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9489-5965)
- Qingyuan Zhang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8116-5293)
- Shi-Yong Zhou
- Yuqin Song (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5118-0625)
- Liping Su (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-6238-1234)
- Shujuan Wen
- Xudong Zhang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0002-8631-3632)
- Xiuhua Sun
- Jing Liu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0007-3796-7046)
- Huilai Zhang
Institutions
- Hebei Medical University (CN)
- Fujian Medical University (CN)
- Central South University (CN)
- Xinjiang Medical University (CN)
- Harbin Medical University (CN)
- Sun Yat-sen University (CN)
- Shanxi Medical University (CN)
- Dalian Medical University (CN)
- Jilin University (CN)
- Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College (CN)
- Peking University (CN)
- Sichuan University (CN)
- Peking Union Medical College Hospital (CN)
- Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital (CN)
- First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University (CN)
- West China Hospital of Sichuan University (CN)
- Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center (CN)
- Peking University Cancer Hospital (CN)
- Second Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University (CN)
- Cangzhou Central Hospital (CN)
- Tumor Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University (CN)
- Third Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University (CN)
- Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University (CN)
- Hunan Cancer Hospital (CN)
- First Hospital of Jilin University (CN)
- Peking University Third Hospital (CN)
- Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center (CN)
- First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University (CN)
- Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- British Journal of Haematology
- Published
- 2024-09-26
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1111/bjh.19770
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- Lymphoma Diagnosis and Treatment
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.42
Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China