A high-resolution dataset for future compound hot-dry events under climate change

Global climate change is leading to an increase in compound hot-dry events, significantly impacting human habitats. Analysing the causes and effects of these events requires precise data, yet most meteorological data focus on variables rather than extremes, which hinders relevant research. A daily compound hot-dry events (CHDEs) dataset was developed from 1980 to 2100 under various socioeconomic scenarios, using the latest NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6) dataset to address this. The dataset has a spatial resolution of 0.25 degrees (approximately 30 kilometres), including three indicators, namely D (the yearly sum of hot-dry extreme days), prI (the intensity of daily precipitation), and tasI (the intensity of daily temperature). To validate the accuracy of the dataset, we compared observational data from China (National Meteorological Information Center, NMIC), Europe (ERA5), and North America (ERA5). Results show close alignment with estimated values from the observational daily dataset, both temporally and spatially. The predictive interval (PI) pass rates for the CHDEs dataset exhibit notably high values. For a 90% PI, D has a pass rate exceeding 85%, whilst prI and tasI respectively show a pass rate above 70% and 95%. These results underscore its suitability for conducting global and regional studies about compound hot-dry events.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Data
Published
2024-09-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-024-03883-z
Citations
7
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.98

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article

A high-resolution dataset for future compound hot-dry events under climate change

Junhong Guo, Faith Ka Shun Chan, Aili Yang, Yurui Fan et al.
7 citations
Scientific Data
Climate variability and models
1.98
article

A high-resolution dataset for future compound hot-dry events under climate change

Junhong Guo, Faith Ka Shun Chan, Aili Yang, Yurui Fan, Yizhou Wen, Zhenda Hao, Yifan Fei, Feng Wang
article en
7 citations

Abstract

Global climate change is leading to an increase in compound hot-dry events, significantly impacting human habitats. Analysing the causes and effects of these events requires precise data, yet most meteorological data focus on variables rather than extremes, which hinders relevant research. A daily compound hot-dry events (CHDEs) dataset was developed from 1980 to 2100 under various socioeconomic scenarios, using the latest NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6) dataset to address this. The dataset has a spatial resolution of 0.25 degrees (approximately 30 kilometres), including three indicators, namely D (the yearly sum of hot-dry extreme days), prI (the intensity of daily precipitation), and tasI (the intensity of daily temperature). To validate the accuracy of the dataset, we compared observational data from China (National Meteorological Information Center, NMIC), Europe (ERA5), and North America (ERA5). Results show close alignment with estimated values from the observational daily dataset, both temporally and spatially. The predictive interval (PI) pass rates for the CHDEs dataset exhibit notably high values. For a 90% PI, D has a pass rate exceeding 85%, whilst prI and tasI respectively show a pass rate above 70% and 95%. These results underscore its suitability for conducting global and regional studies about compound hot-dry events.

Scientific DataVol. 11(1)
University of Leeds (GB), University of Nottingham Ningbo China (CN), Central University of Finance and Economics (CN), North China Electric Power University (CN), Beijing Normal University (CN), Brunel University of London (GB), Xiamen University of Technology (CN)
Royal Society, China Postdoctoral Science Foundation
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 14%
Climate variability and models
1.98
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