Characteristics of the seismogenic zone in an arc-continent collision belt: insights from seismic b values in Eastern Taiwan

Abstract Eastern Taiwan overlies a suture zone between the Eurasian Plate and the Philippine Sea Plate and is characterized by frequent earthquakes, often resulting in significant disasters. Notably, the region exhibits characteristics such as a high frequency of earthquakes and a short recurrence period for intense seismic events. While prior research has explored seismic b values across various periods in Taiwan, detailed investigations of the b value in the eastern region are lacking. This study employs the earthquake catalog compiled by the Taiwan Central Weather Administration to analyze spatial–temporal variations in b values in eastern Taiwan. The analysis encompasses seismic events occurring between January 1996 and June 2019. The seismic catalog is divided into three distinct time periods related to large seismic events: period I, 1996–2003 (the Chengkung earthquake); period II, 2003–2013 (the Ruisui earthquake); and period III, 2013–2019 (the Hualien earthquake). Our results indicate that most seismic events with a magnitude greater than 6 are associated with low b values. The overall b value increases during period II and then decreases substantially during period III. Although the estimated b values changed slightly, but the uncertainty in b values remained stable in this study. The epicenters of large earthquakes often overlap with areas with lower b values, especially in plate suture zones, which means that areas with lower b values usually have a higher probability of larger earthquakes. Given the extremely high potential for a catastrophic earthquake, mitigating measures should be adopted at all times. Graphical Abstract