Modeling Across Scales of Heavy Precipitation With a Global Variable‐Resolution Model: A Case Study of a Catastrophic Event in China

Abstract An unprecedented heavy rainfall event in China (“21.7” extreme rainfall event) was simulated using the global variable‐resolution model (MPAS‐Atmosphere) across the scales (4, 8, 16 and 50 km). Although almost all experiments at different resolutions reproduce the spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation, the simulated precipitation intensity from high to low is 16, 8, 50, and 4 km, with the 16 km simulation being closest to the observations. Precipitation magnitude is prominently influenced by the difference in simulated large‐scale circulation across a range of grid spacings. Further analysis revealed that the differences in latent heating across scales affect the geopotential height and wind field by altering temperature. The latent heating in 4 km simulation is the minimum while the 16 km simulation is maximum. More latent heating release leads to the low‐level pressure depression, amplifies the water vapor flux convergence, produces stronger upward motion and more clouds, and ultimately results in stronger precipitation. The sensitivity experiments for turning off latent heating tendencies during the event showed that the latent heat release has positive feedback on the “21.7” heavy rainfall event. This study highlights the importance of scale‐awareness of latent heat at different resolutions and suggests that the difference in simulated latent heat release during the event is the main reason for simulated different atmospheric circulation and precipitation across scales.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
Published
2024-09-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2024jd041180
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.28

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Modeling Across Scales of Heavy Precipitation With a Global Variable‐Resolution Model: A Case Study of a Catastrophic Event in China

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article

Modeling Across Scales of Heavy Precipitation With a Global Variable‐Resolution Model: A Case Study of a Catastrophic Event in China

Chun Zhao, Gudongze Li, Mingyue Xu, Jiawang Feng, Jun Gu, Jianping Guo, Ziyu Zhang
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Abstract An unprecedented heavy rainfall event in China (“21.7” extreme rainfall event) was simulated using the global variable‐resolution model (MPAS‐Atmosphere) across the scales (4, 8, 16 and 50 km). Although almost all experiments at different resolutions reproduce the spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation, the simulated precipitation intensity from high to low is 16, 8, 50, and 4 km, with the 16 km simulation being closest to the observations. Precipitation magnitude is prominently influenced by the difference in simulated large‐scale circulation across a range of grid spacings. Further analysis revealed that the differences in latent heating across scales affect the geopotential height and wind field by altering temperature. The latent heating in 4 km simulation is the minimum while the 16 km simulation is maximum. More latent heating release leads to the low‐level pressure depression, amplifies the water vapor flux convergence, produces stronger upward motion and more clouds, and ultimately results in stronger precipitation. The sensitivity experiments for turning off latent heating tendencies during the event showed that the latent heat release has positive feedback on the “21.7” heavy rainfall event. This study highlights the importance of scale‐awareness of latent heat at different resolutions and suggests that the difference in simulated latent heat release during the event is the main reason for simulated different atmospheric circulation and precipitation across scales.

Journal of Geophysical Research AtmospheresVol. 129(19)
University of Science and Technology of China (CN), Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences (CN), Laoshan Laboratory
Chinese Academy of Sciences, University of Science and Technology of China, EarthLab, University of Washington, Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Province
Clean water and sanitation
Openalex Percentile: Top 42%
Climate variability and models
0.28
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