Peru's growth forecasts appear overly optimistic

Significance The finance minister's hope that growth this year could reach 4% seems highly optimistic. The Central Bank has successfully reduced inflation to its target range, allowing interest rates to be lowered. Impacts The Peruvian economy is likely to remain susceptible to external shocks, making accurate prediction difficult. Pressure to raise taxation on formal businesses is likely to rise. The fiscal deficit is set to widen between now and the elections.

Publication Details

Journal
Emerald expert briefings
Published
2024-09-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1108/oxan-db289402
Primary Topic
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
Type
article
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article

Peru's growth forecasts appear overly optimistic

Emerald expert briefings
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
article

Peru's growth forecasts appear overly optimistic

article en

Abstract

Significance The finance minister's hope that growth this year could reach 4% seems highly optimistic. The Central Bank has successfully reduced inflation to its target range, allowing interest rates to be lowered. Impacts The Peruvian economy is likely to remain susceptible to external shocks, making accurate prediction difficult. Pressure to raise taxation on formal businesses is likely to rise. The fiscal deficit is set to widen between now and the elections.

Emerald expert briefings
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
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Peru's growth forecasts appear overly optimistic · Emerald expert briefings (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS