On Gamma-Gompertz-Makeham Assurances and Life Annuities

We focus on the gamma-Gompertz-Makeham model, and derive useful structural properties for this mortality model. We provide the basic properties like moments, remaining life expectancy, single life annuity, among many others, in closed form, and so it eliminates the need of evaluating them through numerical integration directly. The estimation of the gamma-Gompertz-Makeham model parameters is performed by using the maximum likelihood method under the traditional discrete Poisson distribution, as well as under the recently introduced discrete Bell distribution, which is an interesting alternative to the usual Poisson distribution, mainly in the presence of overdispersion. We illustrate the performance of the gamma-Gompertz-Makeham model in a human mortality database, and compute, based on the Poisson and Bell distributions, the remaining life expectancy, single life annuity and single assurance at ages 30, 55, and 80 in France, Italy, Japan, and Sweden, from 1947 to 2020 males and females separately.

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Publication Details

Journal
Austrian Journal of Statistics
Published
2024-09-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.17713/ajs.v53i4.1785
Primary Topic
Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

On Gamma-Gompertz-Makeham Assurances and Life Annuities

Artur J. Lemonte, Fredy Castellares, Silvio C. Patrício
Austrian Journal of Statistics
Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
article

On Gamma-Gompertz-Makeham Assurances and Life Annuities

Artur J. Lemonte, Fredy Castellares, Silvio C. Patrício
article en

Abstract

We focus on the gamma-Gompertz-Makeham model, and derive useful structural properties for this mortality model. We provide the basic properties like moments, remaining life expectancy, single life annuity, among many others, in closed form, and so it eliminates the need of evaluating them through numerical integration directly. The estimation of the gamma-Gompertz-Makeham model parameters is performed by using the maximum likelihood method under the traditional discrete Poisson distribution, as well as under the recently introduced discrete Bell distribution, which is an interesting alternative to the usual Poisson distribution, mainly in the presence of overdispersion. We illustrate the performance of the gamma-Gompertz-Makeham model in a human mortality database, and compute, based on the Poisson and Bell distributions, the remaining life expectancy, single life annuity and single assurance at ages 30, 55, and 80 in France, Italy, Japan, and Sweden, from 1947 to 2020 males and females separately.

Austrian Journal of StatisticsVol. 53(4)
University of Southern Denmark (DK), Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (BR), Fundação de Apoio à Universidade Federal de São Paulo (BR), Department of Social Sciences (RU)
Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo, AXA Research Fund, Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico, Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de Minas Gerais
Openalex Percentile: Top 70%
Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
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On Gamma-Gompertz-Makeham Assurances and Life Annuities — Artur J. Lemonte, Fredy Castellares, et al. · Austrian Journal of Statistics (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS