Reaching China’s fertilizer reduction goals through nitrogen and phosphorus recovery: a substance flow analysis case study

Abstract Linear agricultural nutrient regimes are the principal cause for perturbation of the geochemical cycles for nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) and other planetary boundaries. Nutrient cycles are characterized by high spatial disparity and China is a hotspot due to high fertilizer application rates. Using substance flow analysis, this study identified and quantified nutrient flows from agricultural production to residue management of Huangyan tangerines ( Citrus reticulata ) and water bamboo ( Zizania latifolia ) in a case study of Huangyan district (Taizhou City, Zhejiang province). About 754 Mg/a of N and 105 Mg/a of P can theoretically be recovered in the tangerines and water bamboo systems from currently untapped material flows. This could replace 59% of the N and 15% of the P currently applied as chemical fertilizer, reducing environmental impacts. Combining the nutrient recovery of both systems and upscaling the results to Taizhou City, the goal from the 14th Five-Year Plan for Agricultural and Rural Modernization to save 1182 Mg of nutrients per year could be exceeded by almost 12 times. This study’s data have varying degrees of uncertainty. The analysis of data representativeness shows potential for improvements, especially in the agricultural production of water bamboo and the nutrient contents of material flows.