Quasi-likelihood analysis for Student-Lévy regression

Abstract We consider the quasi-likelihood analysis for a linear regression model driven by a Student- t Lévy process with constant scale and arbitrary degrees of freedom. The model is observed at high frequency over an extending period, under which we can quantify how the sampling frequency affects estimation accuracy. In that setting, joint estimation of trend, scale, and degrees of freedom is a non-trivial problem. The bottleneck is that the Student- t distribution is not closed under convolution, making it difficult to estimate all the parameters fully based on the high-frequency time scale. To efficiently deal with the intricate nature from both theoretical and computational points of view, we propose a two-step quasi-likelihood analysis: first, we make use of the Cauchy quasi-likelihood for estimating the regression-coefficient vector and the scale parameter; then, we construct the sequence of the unit-period cumulative residuals to estimate the remaining degrees of freedom. In particular, using full data in the first step causes a problem stemming from the small-time Cauchy approximation, showing the need for data thinning.

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Publication Details

Journal
Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes
Published
2024-09-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11203-024-09317-2
Primary Topic
Stochastic processes and statistical mechanics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Quasi-likelihood analysis for Student-Lévy regression

Yuma Uehara, Lorenzo Mercuri, H. Masuda
Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes
Stochastic processes and statistical mechanics
article

Quasi-likelihood analysis for Student-Lévy regression

Yuma Uehara, Lorenzo Mercuri, H. Masuda
article en

Abstract

Abstract We consider the quasi-likelihood analysis for a linear regression model driven by a Student- t Lévy process with constant scale and arbitrary degrees of freedom. The model is observed at high frequency over an extending period, under which we can quantify how the sampling frequency affects estimation accuracy. In that setting, joint estimation of trend, scale, and degrees of freedom is a non-trivial problem. The bottleneck is that the Student- t distribution is not closed under convolution, making it difficult to estimate all the parameters fully based on the high-frequency time scale. To efficiently deal with the intricate nature from both theoretical and computational points of view, we propose a two-step quasi-likelihood analysis: first, we make use of the Cauchy quasi-likelihood for estimating the regression-coefficient vector and the scale parameter; then, we construct the sequence of the unit-period cumulative residuals to estimate the remaining degrees of freedom. In particular, using full data in the first step causes a problem stemming from the small-time Cauchy approximation, showing the need for data thinning.

Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes
University of Milan (IT), Kansai University (JP), The University of Tokyo (JP)
University of Tokyo, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Core Research for Evolutional Science and Technology
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 73%
Stochastic processes and statistical mechanics
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