Variations and comparisons in hourly and daily precipitation extremes over eastern China in recent warming periods

Abstract Under global warming, a notable intensification of precipitation extremes has posed significant threats to both natural ecosystems and human societies. However, there is still a lack of systematic studies on the variability of hourly precipitation extremes and a comparison with daily precipitation extremes. This study introduces a set of indices for hourly and daily precipitation extremes to systematically examine the changes across eastern China during the summers from 1980 to 2020. The results show that southern China is the sensitive regions with a notable large value of climatology in frequency and intensity for both of hourly and daily precipitation extremes. For the trends, the frequency of hourly precipitation extremes shows a rising trend in southern China, and intensity increased in northern China. Conversely, for daily precipitation extremes, the enhanced intensity and frequency are observed only in southeastern China. Additionally, the eastern coastal area experiences prolonged hourly rainfall with increasing persistence, while the region with an increased duration of daily precipitation is situated further south. Comparing the periods 1980–1999 and 2000–2020, precipitation extremes shift toward more intense and more frequent, with more pronounced variations at the hourly scale. Notably, northeastern China tend to be more intense and shorter‐lived hourly precipitation extremes after 1999, while south China experiences more frequent and longer‐lasting extremes. These changes are partly attributed to the increased unstable conditions, enhanced convective available potential energy and weakened convective inhibition.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Climatology
Published
2024-09-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8632
Citations
5
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.41

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article

Variations and comparisons in hourly and daily precipitation extremes over eastern China in recent warming periods

Jiao Chen, Danqing Huang, Anqi Liu, Jinwen Zeng et al.
5 citations
International Journal of Climatology
Climate variability and models
1.41
article

Variations and comparisons in hourly and daily precipitation extremes over eastern China in recent warming periods

Jiao Chen, Danqing Huang, Anqi Liu, Jinwen Zeng, Yimeng Qi
article en
5 citations

Abstract

Abstract Under global warming, a notable intensification of precipitation extremes has posed significant threats to both natural ecosystems and human societies. However, there is still a lack of systematic studies on the variability of hourly precipitation extremes and a comparison with daily precipitation extremes. This study introduces a set of indices for hourly and daily precipitation extremes to systematically examine the changes across eastern China during the summers from 1980 to 2020. The results show that southern China is the sensitive regions with a notable large value of climatology in frequency and intensity for both of hourly and daily precipitation extremes. For the trends, the frequency of hourly precipitation extremes shows a rising trend in southern China, and intensity increased in northern China. Conversely, for daily precipitation extremes, the enhanced intensity and frequency are observed only in southeastern China. Additionally, the eastern coastal area experiences prolonged hourly rainfall with increasing persistence, while the region with an increased duration of daily precipitation is situated further south. Comparing the periods 1980–1999 and 2000–2020, precipitation extremes shift toward more intense and more frequent, with more pronounced variations at the hourly scale. Notably, northeastern China tend to be more intense and shorter‐lived hourly precipitation extremes after 1999, while south China experiences more frequent and longer‐lasting extremes. These changes are partly attributed to the increased unstable conditions, enhanced convective available potential energy and weakened convective inhibition.

International Journal of ClimatologyVol. 44(14)
Jiangsu Provincial Meteorological Bureau (CN), Nanjing University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, National Key Research and Development Program of China
Openalex Percentile: Top 19%
Climate variability and models
1.41
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