Wind power prediction method based on Attention-LSTM

Abstract Under the background of realizing the goal of “double carbon”, precise short-term wind power prediction can offer a scientific foundation for the effective integration of wind energy into the grid and the secure and steady functioning of the electricity system. However, the unpredictability of weather conditions causes wind power to be volatile, which makes prediction more difficult. Aiming at this problem, a short-term wind power prediction technique that combines LSTM neural network and attention is suggested, which can make the predictive model more effective in processing the inputs of relevant influencing factors. The outcomes demonstrate the higher accuracy of the Attention-LSTM prediction method., with the mean value of RSME of 6.12, the mean value of MAE of 4.51, and the mean value of MAPE of 18%, when the prediction model is trained with real data.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Physics Conference Series
Published
2024-09-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2836/1/012015
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.42
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article

Wind power prediction method based on Attention-LSTM

Bin Zhang, Qiang Zhang, Chao Wang, Changyong Yin et al.
2 citations
Journal of Physics Conference Series
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
0.42
article

Wind power prediction method based on Attention-LSTM

Bin Zhang, Qiang Zhang, Chao Wang, Changyong Yin, Xiangyu Zhao
article en
2 citations

Abstract

Abstract Under the background of realizing the goal of “double carbon”, precise short-term wind power prediction can offer a scientific foundation for the effective integration of wind energy into the grid and the secure and steady functioning of the electricity system. However, the unpredictability of weather conditions causes wind power to be volatile, which makes prediction more difficult. Aiming at this problem, a short-term wind power prediction technique that combines LSTM neural network and attention is suggested, which can make the predictive model more effective in processing the inputs of relevant influencing factors. The outcomes demonstrate the higher accuracy of the Attention-LSTM prediction method., with the mean value of RSME of 6.12, the mean value of MAE of 4.51, and the mean value of MAPE of 18%, when the prediction model is trained with real data.

Journal of Physics Conference SeriesVol. 2836(1)
Shenyang Institute of Engineering (CN), Electric Power Research Institute (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 38%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
0.42
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