Maximum information coefficient combined with <scp>IMPA</scp>‐<scp>ELM</scp> model for load regulation assessment

Abstract In smart grid and smart building environments, accurate forecasting of load demand in residential buildings is of critical importance. This helps to enhance the stability of the power system, facilitate the integration of distributed renewable energy sources, and develop efficient demand response strategies. In view of this, this paper proposes a day‐ahead power load regulation assessment model based on the maximum information coefficient (MIC) combined with an improved Marine Predators Algorithm (IMPA) to optimize the extreme learning machine (ELM). The daily lagged load is used to construct the initial feature set, and the MIC is used for feature selection to filter out the top five features with the largest values. The MPA improvement strategy includes self‐mapping to generate chaotic sequence initialization and boundary mutation operations. The experimental results show that the proposed model has the optimal performance in evaluating the load regulation amount compared to other models. Taking Mean Absolute Error (MAE) as an example, compared with ELM and MPA‐ELM, IMPA‐ELM improved by 13.85% and 3.04%, respectively.

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Publication Details

Journal
Engineering Reports
Published
2024-09-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/eng2.13011
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Maximum information coefficient combined with IMPA‐ELM model for load regulation assessment

Feng Hu, Mengran Zhou, Xia Li, Guangyao Zhou et al.
Engineering Reports
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Maximum information coefficient combined with IMPA‐ELM model for load regulation assessment

Feng Hu, Mengran Zhou, Xia Li, Guangyao Zhou, Lei Tang, Zhitian Liu, Qingqing Pang, Mingfang Yang, Yanyan Gong, Youzhong Wu
article en

Abstract

Abstract In smart grid and smart building environments, accurate forecasting of load demand in residential buildings is of critical importance. This helps to enhance the stability of the power system, facilitate the integration of distributed renewable energy sources, and develop efficient demand response strategies. In view of this, this paper proposes a day‐ahead power load regulation assessment model based on the maximum information coefficient (MIC) combined with an improved Marine Predators Algorithm (IMPA) to optimize the extreme learning machine (ELM). The daily lagged load is used to construct the initial feature set, and the MIC is used for feature selection to filter out the top five features with the largest values. The MPA improvement strategy includes self‐mapping to generate chaotic sequence initialization and boundary mutation operations. The experimental results show that the proposed model has the optimal performance in evaluating the load regulation amount compared to other models. Taking Mean Absolute Error (MAE) as an example, compared with ELM and MPA‐ELM, IMPA‐ELM improved by 13.85% and 3.04%, respectively.

Engineering ReportsVol. 6(12)
Anhui University of Science and Technology (CN)
Science and Technology Project of State Grid
Openalex Percentile: Top 87%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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