Impacts and threshold effects of urban–rural integration on the transition of arable land use functions

• Introduction of a framework for the transition of arable land use functions (TALUF). • Exploration of the direct impact of urban–rural integration (URI) on TALUF. • Identification of significant spatial spillover effects of URI on TALUF. • Investigation of the threshold effect of URI on TALUF. This study examines the impact of urban–rural integration (URI) on the transition of arable land use functions (TALUF), providing both theoretical and empirical insights into how URI can promote TALUF. Utilizing panel data from 41 cities in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) from 2003 to 2022, this research employs the entropy method, Durbin model, and spatial threshold model to assess the levels of URI and TALUF in the region and examine the direct impact, spatial spillover effects, and threshold effects of URI on TALUF. The findings are: (1) During the study period, both TALUF and URI levels in the YRD showed continuous improvement, although significant spatial imbalances persisted, with regional differentiation gradually diminishing. (2) URI exerts a significant inhibitory effect on TALUF and produces a negative spatial spillover effect. (3) URI exerts a single threshold effect on TALUF: below the economic development threshold of 0.733, URI and its spatial term inhibit TALUF, whereas above this threshold, they promote it. Consequently, fostering high-quality regional economic development, enhancing intercity cooperation, driving agricultural technological innovation, and increasing agricultural input intensity are essential strategies for arable land use policies in the context of URI.