Seasonal mouse cadaver microbial study: rupture time and postmortem interval estimation model construction

The estimation of postmortem interval (PMI) has long been a focal point in the field of forensic science. Following the death of an organism, microorganisms exhibit a clock-like proliferation pattern during the course of cadaver decomposition, forming the foundation for utilizing microbiology in PMI estimation. The establishment of PMI estimation models based on datasets from different seasons is of great practical significance. In this experiment, we conducted microbiota sequencing and analysis on gravesoil and mouse intestinal contents collected during both the winter and summer seasons and constructed a PMI estimation model using the Random Forest algorithm. The results showed that the MAE of the gut microbiota model in summer was 0.47 ± 0.26 d, R2 = 0.991, and the MAE of the gravesoil model in winter was 1.04 ± 0.22 d, R2 = 0.998. We propose that, in practical applications, it is advantageous to selectively build PMI estimation models based on seasonal variations. Additionally, through a combination of morphological observations, gravesoil microbiota sequencing results, and soil physicochemical data, we identified the time of cadaveric rupture for mouse cadavers, occurring at around days 24-27 in winter and days 6-9 in summer. This study not only confirms previous research findings but also introduces novel insights, contributing to the foundational knowledge necessary to advance the utilization of microbiota for PMI estimation.