Coupling is key for the tropical Indian and Atlantic oceans to boost super El Niño

The influences of the tropical Indian and Atlantic oceans on the development of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), especially regarding super El Niño events, have been a subject of debate. In particular, several studies argue that these cross-basin influences may be mere statistical artifacts resulting from the high auto-correlation of ENSO. To clarify this issue, we conduct a series of perfect model hindcast experiments to untangle the individual and synergistic effects of the tropical Indian and Atlantic oceans. Our results clearly demonstrate that without these cross-basin effects, the Pacific warming would rarely reach super El Niño level. Specifically, the individual effect of the Indian Ocean efficiently enhances the development of super El Niño events. In contrast, the Atlantic's effect is initially limited because it fails to establish the Bjerknes feedback in the Pacific. However, when coupled with the Indian Ocean, the Atlantic's effect becomes more pronounced as it is amplified by the Bjerknes feedback established by the Indian Ocean.

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Publication Details

Journal
Science Advances
Published
2024-09-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adp2281
Citations
17
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
4.80

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article

Coupling is key for the tropical Indian and Atlantic oceans to boost super El Niño

Chunzai Wang, Hanjie Fan, Guangli Zhang, Song Yang
17 citations
Science Advances
Climate variability and models
4.80
article

Coupling is key for the tropical Indian and Atlantic oceans to boost super El Niño

Chunzai Wang, Hanjie Fan, Guangli Zhang, Song Yang
article en
17 citations

Abstract

The influences of the tropical Indian and Atlantic oceans on the development of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), especially regarding super El Niño events, have been a subject of debate. In particular, several studies argue that these cross-basin influences may be mere statistical artifacts resulting from the high auto-correlation of ENSO. To clarify this issue, we conduct a series of perfect model hindcast experiments to untangle the individual and synergistic effects of the tropical Indian and Atlantic oceans. Our results clearly demonstrate that without these cross-basin effects, the Pacific warming would rarely reach super El Niño level. Specifically, the individual effect of the Indian Ocean efficiently enhances the development of super El Niño events. In contrast, the Atlantic's effect is initially limited because it fails to establish the Bjerknes feedback in the Pacific. However, when coupled with the Indian Ocean, the Atlantic's effect becomes more pronounced as it is amplified by the Bjerknes feedback established by the Indian Ocean.

Science AdvancesVol. 10(37)
Sun Yat-sen University (CN), Institute of Oceanology (CN), South China Sea Institute Of Oceanology (CN), Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou) (CN), Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai) (CN)
Chinese Academy of Sciences
Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Climate variability and models
4.80
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