Pulmonary Embolism Risk Assessment in Acute Isolated Distal Deep Venous Thrombosis

The clinical risk factors and risk of developing pulmonary embolism (PE) in patients with acute isolated distal deep venous thrombosis (IDDVT) were assessed using single complete-duplex ultrasound (CDUS) imaging to reduce over-testing and over-treatment. This observational study was conducted from January 2020 to December 2022. Retrospective analysis was performed on CT pulmonary angiography (CTPA), blood coagulation markers, myocardial injury markers, blood gas analysis, and CDUS imaging of the lower extremity blood vessels of 146 patients with newly diagnosed IDDVT. Binary logistic regression was used to evaluate the relationship between these indicators and PE. After stepwise regression analysis, the predictors included in the regression model were D-dimer (DD), the sum of the thrombus length, and the maximum value of the thrombus width, with odds ratios (ORs) of 1.307 (p <0.001), 1.018 (p = 0.005), and 1.613 (p = 0.018), respectively. The combined prediction model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.832 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.761, 0.902]. By balancing the sensitivity and specificity of DD, combined single CDUS improves the predictive value for PE in patients with IDDVT. Key Words: Venous thrombosis, Pulmonary embolism, Ultrasonography, D-dimer, Diagnosis.