A Research of Fine-Tuning CNN-LSTM Model for Gold Price Prediction

Gold price and foreign exchange price prediction are usually regarded as serialized data with strong time correlation. It is precisely because of this feature that the performance of traditional convolutional neural networks is often not as good as that of recurrent neural networks. This paper fine-tunes the CNN-LSTM model in two ways. The first is to simplify the input data, convert the time series into binary data, and change the model task from predicting prices to predicting price fluctuations. The second is to add a dropout layer and use the dropout layer to improve the model's overfitting problem. The results demonstrate that the improved model outperforms the first model, with prediction accuracy rising from 54% to 57%. Furthermore, the refined model is not limited to processing the gold price series; it can also be applied to other time series, and when paired with other models, it could yield even better outcomes.

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Publication Details

Journal
Advances in Economics Management and Political Sciences
Published
2024-09-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.54254/2754-1169/94/2024ox0185
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.49
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article

A Research of Fine-Tuning CNN-LSTM Model for Gold Price Prediction

Yang Luo
1 citations
Advances in Economics Management and Political Sciences
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
0.49
article

A Research of Fine-Tuning CNN-LSTM Model for Gold Price Prediction

Yang Luo
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Gold price and foreign exchange price prediction are usually regarded as serialized data with strong time correlation. It is precisely because of this feature that the performance of traditional convolutional neural networks is often not as good as that of recurrent neural networks. This paper fine-tunes the CNN-LSTM model in two ways. The first is to simplify the input data, convert the time series into binary data, and change the model task from predicting prices to predicting price fluctuations. The second is to add a dropout layer and use the dropout layer to improve the model's overfitting problem. The results demonstrate that the improved model outperforms the first model, with prediction accuracy rising from 54% to 57%. Furthermore, the refined model is not limited to processing the gold price series; it can also be applied to other time series, and when paired with other models, it could yield even better outcomes.

Advances in Economics Management and Political SciencesVol. 94(1)
Jinan University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 31%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
0.49
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A Research of Fine-Tuning CNN-LSTM Model for Gold Price Prediction — Yang Luo · Advances in Economics Management and Political Sciences (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS