The Impact of Population Aging from the Perspective of New Productive Forces: Empirical Evidence from 30 Provinces in China

The new quality productive forces are the important means to promote the high quality of Chinese economic development, which is driven by the innovation of science and technology, the layout of new industries and the development of regional links. In the context of China's aging, it is significant to research the influence of the aging population on the NQHP. Based on the data of 30 Chinese provinces between 2010 and 2022, this paper discusses the influence of population aging on NQF in China. The paper found that population aging hurts new quality productivity. The effect of population aging on NQF has the feature of regional heterogeneity, and the biggest negative influence on NQF is the eastern area, and the second is the northeastern area. In the middle and west area, the aging of the population has no negative influence on the new quality productive forces, and it has an obvious positive influence. By means of the intermediary mechanism, we find that the aging population can inhibit the growth of NQF by decreasing the proportion of TPL.