The Technical Default Spread

Abstract We study the quantitative impact of lender control rights on corporate investment, asset prices, and the aggregate economy. We build a general equilibrium model in which the breaching of a loan covenant (technical default) entails a switch in investment control rights from borrowers to lenders. Lenders optimally choose low-risk projects, thus mitigating borrowers’ risk-taking incentives and lowering the cost of equity. This mechanism generates strong macroeconomic effects and mitigates the financial accelerator. Consistent with our model, proximity to technical default in the data is associated with 4.12% lower returns and lower exposure to systematic risk.

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Publication Details

Journal
Review of Financial Studies
Published
2024-09-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhae042
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Credit Risk and Financial Regulations
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.54

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article

The Technical Default Spread

Jun Yu, Emilio Bisetti, Kai Li
2 citations
Review of Financial Studies
Credit Risk and Financial Regulations
0.54
article

The Technical Default Spread

Jun Yu, Emilio Bisetti, Kai Li
article en
2 citations

Abstract

Abstract We study the quantitative impact of lender control rights on corporate investment, asset prices, and the aggregate economy. We build a general equilibrium model in which the breaching of a loan covenant (technical default) entails a switch in investment control rights from borrowers to lenders. Lenders optimally choose low-risk projects, thus mitigating borrowers’ risk-taking incentives and lowering the cost of equity. This mechanism generates strong macroeconomic effects and mitigates the financial accelerator. Consistent with our model, proximity to technical default in the data is associated with 4.12% lower returns and lower exposure to systematic risk.

Review of Financial StudiesVol. 37(11)
The University of Melbourne (AU), Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (HK), Quantitative BioSciences (US)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Partnerships for the goals
Openalex Percentile: Top 31%
Credit Risk and Financial Regulations
0.54
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