Can health promotion facilitate development in fragile states?: An instrumental variable estimation with panel data

Despite the potential role of health being recognised for more than a decade in fragile contexts, there are still gaps in understanding the possible paths towards peace. Particularly, current literature on health and development presents limitations, including insufficient evidence, a lack of thorough consideration for fragility and tensions between humanitarian and developmental approaches. Building upon prior discussions and limitations, this study aims to investigate the association between health indicators and the levels of economic and human development, employing panel data of 60 fragile states covering the years 1995-2021. Seven health outcome measures and three proxy measures for economic and human developments, including GDP per capita and Human Development Index with and without inequality adjustment, are employed in instrumental variable estimation. The analysis shows a positive association between the development measures and corresponding health indicators. These results suggest that promoting the health of the people, particularly among marginalised groups such as pregnant women and children, not only has the potential to protect them but also to facilitate economic and human developments of the fragile states. There is a need for approaching with people-centred and human capability perspectives to achieve the goal of 'Health and Peace for All'.