Quantitative classification evaluation model for tight sandstone reservoirs based on machine learning

Tight sandstone reservoirs are a primary focus of research on the geological exploration of petroleum. However, many reservoir classification criteria are of limited applicability due to the inherent strong heterogeneity and complex micropore structure of tight sandstone reservoirs. This investigation focused on the Chang 8 tight reservoir situated in the Jiyuan region of the Ordos Basin. High-pressure mercury intrusion experiments, casting thin sections, and scanning electron microscopy experiments were conducted. Image recognition technology was used to extract the pore shape parameters of each sample. Based on the above, through grey relational analysis (GRA), analytic hierarchy process (AHP), entropy weight method (EWM) and comprehensive weight method, the relationship index Q1 between initial productivity and high pressure mercury injection parameters and the relationship index Q2 between initial productivity and pore shape parameters are obtained by fitting. Then a dual-coupled comprehensive quantitative classification prediction model for tight sandstone reservoirs was developed based on pore structure and shape parameters. A quantitative classification study was conducted on the target reservoir, analyzing the correlation between reservoir quality and pore structure and shape parameters, leading to the proposal of favourable exploration areas. The research results showed that when Q1 ≥ 0.5 and Q2 ≥ 0.5, the reservoir was classified as type I. When Q1 > 0.7 and Q2 > 0.57, it was classified as type I₁, indicating a high-yield reservoir. When 0.32 < Q1 < 0.47 and 0.44 < Q2 < 0.56, was classified as type II. When 0.1 < Q1 < 0.32 and 0.3 < Q2 < 0.44, it was classified as type III. Type I reservoirs exhibit a zigzag pattern in the northwest part of the study area. Thus, the northwest should be prioritized in actual exploration and development. Additionally, the initial productivity of tight sandstone reservoirs showed a positive correlation with the porosity, permeability, sorting coefficient, coefficient of variation, and median radius. Conversely, it demonstrated a negative correlation with the median pressure and displacement pressure. The perimeters of pores, their circularity, and the length of the major axis showed a positive correlation with the porosity, permeability, sorting coefficient, coefficient of variation, and median radius. On the other hand, they exhibited a negative correlation with the median pressure and displacement pressure. This study quantitatively constructed a new classification and evaluation system for tight sandstone reservoirs from the perspective of microscopic pore structure, achieving an overall model accuracy of 93.3%. This model effectively predicts and evaluates tight sandstone reservoirs. It provides new guidance for identifying favorable areas in the study region and other tight sandstone reservoirs.