From Fiction to Forecast: Leveraging LLM-Enhanced Models and Science Fiction for Innovative Technology Predictions

Science fiction has long stood as an abundant source of inspiration, often pre-empting technological breakthroughs before they occur. However, these predictions are usually constrained by the current level of understanding and analysis. Our research introduces a groundbreaking approach that skillfully integrates the visionary ideas of science fiction with the rigorous analysis of scientific principles to improve the accuracy of predicting technological trends. This method combines the imaginative scope of science fiction with concrete scientific progress, establishing an advanced strategy for predicting technological futures. By moving beyond mere theoretical speculation, our in-depth analysis and predicting model utilize a wide range of cutting-edge technological advancements. The integration of both comprehensive and specialized pre-trained language models is central to our approach. We employ the extensive capabilities of the Llama2 large language model to create context-aware prompts that adeptly encapsulate the technological visions found in science fiction. These visions are then complexly processed through sophisticated, more focused pre-trained models such as BERT, XLNet, and RoBERTa, transforming them into rich semantic vectors. This multi-layered analysis indicates the complex semantic and structural aspects in the fictional narratives. The result is a optimized supervised learning classification model, capable of accurately assessing the viability and practicality of the technologies depicted. Our study offers a fresh perspective on the analysis and prediction of technological trends, illustrating an integration of imaginative fiction and the systematic rigor of scientific research, thereby paving new avenues for understanding future technological innovations.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-08-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.23919/picmet64035.2024.10653333
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Statistical and Computational Modeling
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.69
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article

From Fiction to Forecast: Leveraging LLM-Enhanced Models and Science Fiction for Innovative Technology Predictions

Jin Chen, Keren Zhang, Yilun Zhang, Zhu Ziqin et al.
2 citations
Statistical and Computational Modeling
0.69
article

From Fiction to Forecast: Leveraging LLM-Enhanced Models and Science Fiction for Innovative Technology Predictions

Jin Chen, Keren Zhang, Yilun Zhang, Zhu Ziqin, Lin Jiawei
article en
2 citations

Abstract

Science fiction has long stood as an abundant source of inspiration, often pre-empting technological breakthroughs before they occur. However, these predictions are usually constrained by the current level of understanding and analysis. Our research introduces a groundbreaking approach that skillfully integrates the visionary ideas of science fiction with the rigorous analysis of scientific principles to improve the accuracy of predicting technological trends. This method combines the imaginative scope of science fiction with concrete scientific progress, establishing an advanced strategy for predicting technological futures. By moving beyond mere theoretical speculation, our in-depth analysis and predicting model utilize a wide range of cutting-edge technological advancements. The integration of both comprehensive and specialized pre-trained language models is central to our approach. We employ the extensive capabilities of the Llama2 large language model to create context-aware prompts that adeptly encapsulate the technological visions found in science fiction. These visions are then complexly processed through sophisticated, more focused pre-trained models such as BERT, XLNet, and RoBERTa, transforming them into rich semantic vectors. This multi-layered analysis indicates the complex semantic and structural aspects in the fictional narratives. The result is a optimized supervised learning classification model, capable of accurately assessing the viability and practicality of the technologies depicted. Our study offers a fresh perspective on the analysis and prediction of technological trends, illustrating an integration of imaginative fiction and the systematic rigor of scientific research, thereby paving new avenues for understanding future technological innovations.

Shanghai Jiao Tong University (CN), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Tianjin Institute of Industrial Biotechnology (CN), Tsinghua University (CN)
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 25%
Statistical and Computational Modeling
0.69
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