An Advisor Neural Network framework using LSTM-based Informative Stock Analysis

In the past years, the widespread diffusion of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the finance domain transformed different services, with particular attention to the stock market. Although different AI-based approaches have been proposed for stock forecasting, they are focused on news content or sentiment without considering fundamental features and vice versa. In turn, other approaches rely on handmade rules or ones based on technical indicators for providing advice without considering contextual information that can strongly affect the stock market. In this paper, we propose an Advisor Neural Network framework using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)-based Informative Stock Analysis for Daily investment Advice. Specifically, the forecasting unit relies on a LSTM-based model, which combines technical indicators, contextual information, and financial data for stock forecasting. Successively, the advice unit provides next-day advice based on predicted information in conjunction with the proposed Heuristic Stocks Selection algorithm. This framework has been evaluated on the Stock and Cryptocurrencies markets, considering a subset of 417 stocks and 67 cryptocurrencies over three years, respectively. We compared the proposed framework with several state-of-the-art approaches, showing how it outperforms the baseline in both markets. Furthermore, we achieved a financial gain greater than 41%, despite the downward trend of the NASDAQ market in the quarter under review, and we obtained a 39.38% return on investment for the Cryptocurrencies market.

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Publication Details

Journal
Expert Systems with Applications
Published
2024-09-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2024.125299
Citations
23
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
11.28
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article

An Advisor Neural Network framework using LSTM-based Informative Stock Analysis

Giancarlo Sperlí, Fausto Ricchiuti
23 citations
Expert Systems with Applications
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
11.28
article

An Advisor Neural Network framework using LSTM-based Informative Stock Analysis

Giancarlo Sperlí, Fausto Ricchiuti
article en
23 citations

Abstract

In the past years, the widespread diffusion of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the finance domain transformed different services, with particular attention to the stock market. Although different AI-based approaches have been proposed for stock forecasting, they are focused on news content or sentiment without considering fundamental features and vice versa. In turn, other approaches rely on handmade rules or ones based on technical indicators for providing advice without considering contextual information that can strongly affect the stock market. In this paper, we propose an Advisor Neural Network framework using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)-based Informative Stock Analysis for Daily investment Advice. Specifically, the forecasting unit relies on a LSTM-based model, which combines technical indicators, contextual information, and financial data for stock forecasting. Successively, the advice unit provides next-day advice based on predicted information in conjunction with the proposed Heuristic Stocks Selection algorithm. This framework has been evaluated on the Stock and Cryptocurrencies markets, considering a subset of 417 stocks and 67 cryptocurrencies over three years, respectively. We compared the proposed framework with several state-of-the-art approaches, showing how it outperforms the baseline in both markets. Furthermore, we achieved a financial gain greater than 41%, despite the downward trend of the NASDAQ market in the quarter under review, and we obtained a 39.38% return on investment for the Cryptocurrencies market.

Expert Systems with ApplicationsVol. 259
University of Naples Federico II (IT)
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
11.28
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