Creep reliability assessment of structural components at elevated temperatures considering the time dependent feature of representative stress

• Uncertainty of parameters in Huddleston representative stress model is determined by Jackknife method. • Time dependent feature of representative stress is incorporated in creep reliability assessment of components. • Effect of time dependent feature of representative stress on creep reliability assessment is discussed. • Sensitivity analyses of materials parameters on creep rupture life assessment results are conducted. Creep reliability assessment of structural components at elevated temperatures is essential to guarantee the long-term safe operation of the system. Current studies are limited to continuum damage mechanics methods at the material level, while the reliability assessment method for creep design at the component level is rarely reported. In this work, the framework for creep reliability assessment of structural components is extended, where the time dependent feature of the representative stress is included. The effect of the time dependent feature of the representative stress on creep reliability assessment is discussed. Sensitivity analyses of material parameters on creep reliability assessment results are conducted based on the Sobol and Morris global methods. Results indicate that for the same creep design life, the component presents a higher failure probability when the time dependent feature of the representative stress is considered. Parameters D and d in the creep rupture life equation have more significant effects on creep rupture life than other parameters for the case studied.