Evaluation of peripheral blood inflammation indexes as prognostic markers for colorectal cancer metastasis

The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of peripheral blood inflammation indexes in patients with metastatic Colorectal Cancer (CRC) and to establish a predictive scoring system. A total of 324 CRC patients diagnosed through pathological examination from January 2017 to July 2022 at the Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University were included. The prognosis of patients with metastatic CRC was examined, and the correlation between IL-10 expression in pathological tissues and IL-10 expression in serum was analyzed. The results showed that the prognosis of CRC was poorer when metastasis occurred (P < 0.001). Additionally, IL-10 was highly expressed in the metastatic CRC group (P = 0.018), and the expression of IL-10 in pathological tissues of patients with metastatic CRC was positively correlated with the expression of IL-10 in serum (P = 0.037). The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-white blood cell ratio (LWR), aggregate index of systemic inflammation (AISI), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI), and interleukin-10 (IL-10) were calculated and determined by ROC curve. The critical values were 2.135, 3.735, 353.745, 0.265, 1.025, 52.975, 353.635, and 11.25, respectively. Inflammatory indexes with an AUC of more than 0.6 were selected, and each colorectal cancer patient with any of these risk factors was assigned a score of one. The 324 patients were then divided into two groups: 0-4 for the low-risk group and 4-8 for the high-risk group. The occurrence of distant metastases in the two groups was statistically analyzed. The results showed that the OS and PFS of the low-risk group were significantly superior to those of the high-risk group (P < 0.05). These findings indicate that NLR, LWR, AISI, MLR, SIRI, PNI, ALI, and IL-10 are risk factors for distant metastasis in CRC patients. Therefore, the prediction scores of these indexes can be used to effectively evaluate the prognosis of patients with metastatic CRC.