585. COMPREHENSIVE RISK SCORE OF THE E-PASS SERVES A PROGNOSTIC INDICATOR FOR PATIENTS AFTER NEOADJUVANT THERAPY AND CURATIVE ESOPHAGEAL CANCER SURGERY

Abstract Background Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and curative surgery have been recommended as the standard treatments for locally advanced esophageal cancer. In addition, the comprehensive risk score (CRS) of the physiological ability and surgical stress (E-PASS) scoring system, incorporating both clinical and surgical factors, has proven effective in predicting postoperative complications and mortality. However, the impact of E-PASS scoring system on the prognosis of esophageal cancer remains uncertain. This study aimed to evaluate the comprehensive risk score of E-PASS scoring system for predicting the short- and long-term outcomes of patients treated with nCRT and esophageal cancer surgery. Methods Patients with esophageal cancer who underwent curative resection between 2010 and 2022 were retrospectively enrolled in this study. The cohort was divided into the low and high CRS groups. The CRS cutoff value was determined using the Youden index applied to overall survival (OS) curves. Prognostic value was assessed through Cox regression and Kaplan–Meier analyses. Results In total, 814 patients were enrolled, including 556 and 258 patients with low and high CRS, respectively. ROC curve analysis determined that the CRS was a highly specific and sensitive predictive tool for postoperative complication occurrence and severity (AUC=0.889 and 0.838, respectively). When the cutoff value was established using the Youden index applied to overall OS curves, multivariate analysis demonstrated that the CRS was an independent prognostic factor for OS (HR: 1.48; 95% CI 1.14–1.92, P=0.003) and recurrence-free survival (HR: 1.44; 95% CI 1.13–1.82, P=0.002), irrespective of esophageal cancer stage and tumor regression scores. Conclusion The E-PASS scoring system emerges as a visible predictor of short- and long-term outcomes in patients with esophageal cancer undergoing nCRT and curative surgery.