The Robust Optimization of Low-Carbon Economic Dispatching for Regional Integrated Energy Systems Considering Wind and Solar Uncertainty

In this paper, a two-stage robust optimization approach is employed to address the variability in renewable energy output by accounting for the uncertainties associated with wind and solar energy. The model aims to achieve a balanced system that is both low-carbon and economically efficient while also being resilient to uncertainties. Initially, a regional integrated energy system model is developed, integrating electricity, gas, and heat. The variability of wind and photovoltaic power outputs is represented using a modifiable uncertainty set. A resilient optimal scheduling model is formulated in two stages, with the objective of minimizing costs under worst-case scenarios. This model is solved iteratively through a column and constraint generation approach. Additionally, the scheduling model incorporates horizontal time shifts and vertical complementary substitutions for carbon trading costs and demand-side loads to avoid excessive conservatism and to manage carbon emissions and energy trading in the regional integrated energy system (RIES). Results show that the two-stage robust optimization approach significantly enhances the system’s resilience to risks and minimizes economic losses. The inclusion of carbon trading mechanisms and the demand response prevents the system from becoming overly robust, which could impede economic growth, while also reducing carbon emissions. The proposed method effectively achieves balanced optimal scheduling for a robust, economical, and low-carbon system.