Stages and main tasks of the century-long control theory and system identification development. Part VI. Model predictive control

The article is devoted to one of the relatively new areas in the field of control theory and practice, called model predictive control. The ideas underlying it, the connection with the theory of optimal control and numerical methods for solving optimization problems are described. It should be noted that currently the number of problems solved and control systems developed within the framework of this approach has come out on top in comparison with all others. This is evidenced by numerous publications concerning the theory and practical application of control methods and algorithms using a predictive model. The main distinctive feature of this method is that the control is not synthesized in advance, but is calculated directly during the operation of the system, i.e. at the current time. This made it possible, with such control, to implement original feedback that ensures stabilization of the process when the model is inaccurate and there is uncertainty associated with existing disturbances and measurements. It describes how such feedback is organized based on current measurement data. In this case, there is no need to interpret somehow the nature of the disturbances and errors acting on the system. Much attention in the article is paid to the possibilities that are admitted with this method of control. The model predictive control method seems especially attractive for systems with discrete impulse processes that are well described with using cognitive maps. It is considered an example of cognitive modeling of evolutionary demographic processes in Ukraine and the possibility of control them using a predictive model, when the model contains unstable eigenvalues. When solving problems of predictive control, it is proposed to use trajectory models, which directly follow from the Cauchy formula, in particular for discrete systems, instead of a local description in the state space. This makes it possible to take into account, when solving predictive control problems, how well or poorly controlled, observable or identifiable the system is. Non-standard capabilities of this method with a trajectory description appear during terminal control on a sliding interval with a finite horizon. A number of original formulations of terminal control problems are presented in the article and some of their properties are described.