An Assessment of Explosive and Fire Risks from Fighter Jet Collision with Aircraft Carrier

Abstract This paper presents a framework for evaluating the risk of fire and explosion resulting from potential collisions between fighter jets and aircraft carriers. An event tree is a chronological order of risk issues that may arise from an initial event. This study creates an initial crash scenario based on actual accident cases and risk issues, which are event tree items. Using these scenarios, collision analysis is conducted utilizing finite element analysis to investigate the structural response. It allows us to identify potential fuel leakage and assess whether the collision impact is potent enough to activate the fuze of any onboard weaponry. Consequently, a series of fire analyses pertinent to the respective situations is executed. These analyses aim to discern whether hazardous conditions such as secondary fires or explosions will likely ensue post-collision. By simulating a possible collision scenario between a fighter jet and a flight deck, the proposed method systematically explores and understands the probability and consequences of fire and explosion events following such collisions.