Reconstructing the age-structured case count of COVID-19 from sentinel surveillance data in Japan: A modeling study
Our model quantified COVID-19 dynamics, comparably to universal reporting that ended in May 2023, enabling detailed and up-to-date health burden analysis using sentinel reports. The cumulative incidence was greater than that suggested from sentinel data in Tokyo, Nara, and Okinawa. Per-population burdens among children were particularly high in Osaka and Nara, indicating a strong bias in sentinel reporting toward pediatric cases.
Authors
- Hiroshi Nishiura (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0941-8537)
- Minami Ueda (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1316-9492)
- Yuta Okada
Institutions
- Kyoto University (JP)
Publication Details
- Journal
- International Journal of Infectious Diseases
- Published
- 2024-08-30
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2024.107223
- Citations
- 6
- Primary Topic
- COVID-19 epidemiological studies
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 2.37
Funders
- Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development
- Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency
- Kyoto University Foundation
- Fujiwara Memorial Foundation
- Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare
- Kyoto University Education and Research Foundation
- Secom Science and Technology Foundation
- Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
- Japan Science and Technology Agency
- Research Institute of Science and Technology for Society
- Strategic International Collaborative Research Program