Decoupling both local and global abundance from global range size, challenging the abundance-occupancy relationship in birds

In macroecology, a classic empirical observation has been positive relationships between local abundance and species' range, known as the abundance-occupancy relationships (AORs). The existence of this empirical relationship has informed both theory development and applied questions. Notably, the spatial neutral model of biodiversity predicts AORs. Yet, based on the largest known meta-analysis of 16,562,995 correlations from ~3 billion bird observations, this relationship was indistinguishable from zero. Further, in a phylogenetic comparative analysis, species range had no predictive power over the global mean abundance of 7464 bird species. We suggest that publication and confirmation biases may have created AORs, an illusion of a 'universal' pattern. This nullification highlights the need for ecologists to instigate a credibility revolution like psychology, where many classic phenomena have been nullified.

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Publication Details

Journal
eLife
Published
2024-08-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.7554/elife.95857
Primary Topic
Economic and Environmental Valuation
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Decoupling both local and global abundance from global range size, challenging the abundance-occupancy relationship in birds

William K. Cornwell, Corey T. Callaghan, Shinichi Nakagawa
eLife
Economic and Environmental Valuation
article

Decoupling both local and global abundance from global range size, challenging the abundance-occupancy relationship in birds

William K. Cornwell, Corey T. Callaghan, Shinichi Nakagawa
article en

Abstract

In macroecology, a classic empirical observation has been positive relationships between local abundance and species' range, known as the abundance-occupancy relationships (AORs). The existence of this empirical relationship has informed both theory development and applied questions. Notably, the spatial neutral model of biodiversity predicts AORs. Yet, based on the largest known meta-analysis of 16,562,995 correlations from ~3 billion bird observations, this relationship was indistinguishable from zero. Further, in a phylogenetic comparative analysis, species range had no predictive power over the global mean abundance of 7464 bird species. We suggest that publication and confirmation biases may have created AORs, an illusion of a 'universal' pattern. This nullification highlights the need for ecologists to instigate a credibility revolution like psychology, where many classic phenomena have been nullified.

eLifeVol. 13
Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University (JP), UNSW Sydney (AU), University of Florida (US), University of Fort Lauderdale (US)
Life in Land
Openalex Percentile: Top 82%
Economic and Environmental Valuation
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Decoupling both local and global abundance from global range size, challenging the abundance-occupancy relationship in birds — William K. Cornwell, Corey T. Callaghan, et al. · eLife (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS