Predicting stock prices in the Pakistan market using machine learning and technical indicators

This study uses advanced machine learning models to predict stock prices in the Pakistani stock market using 27 technical indicators. It evaluates the predictive capabilities of four techniques, SVM, LSTM, and Random Forest for binary classification of stock price movements. ANN and SVM show the highest accuracy at 85%, followed by Random Forest at 84% and LSTM at 78%. Key indicators such as %R, Momentum, and Disparity 5 are critical across all models. The research provides valuable insights for investors and analysts to improve decision-making. It underscores the importance of technical indicators and establishes a data-driven approach to navigating the complexities of the Pakistani stock market. The study further emphasizes the importance of technical indicators and suggests exploring hybrid models that incorporate real-time data, sentiment analysis, and external factors for better stock price prediction.

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Publication Details

Journal
Modern Finance
Published
2024-08-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.61351/mf.v2i2.167
Citations
12
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
5.89
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article

Predicting stock prices in the Pakistan market using machine learning and technical indicators

Hassan Raza, Zafar Akhtar
12 citations
Modern Finance
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
5.89
article

Predicting stock prices in the Pakistan market using machine learning and technical indicators

Hassan Raza, Zafar Akhtar
article en
12 citations

Abstract

This study uses advanced machine learning models to predict stock prices in the Pakistani stock market using 27 technical indicators. It evaluates the predictive capabilities of four techniques, SVM, LSTM, and Random Forest for binary classification of stock price movements. ANN and SVM show the highest accuracy at 85%, followed by Random Forest at 84% and LSTM at 78%. Key indicators such as %R, Momentum, and Disparity 5 are critical across all models. The research provides valuable insights for investors and analysts to improve decision-making. It underscores the importance of technical indicators and establishes a data-driven approach to navigating the complexities of the Pakistani stock market. The study further emphasizes the importance of technical indicators and suggests exploring hybrid models that incorporate real-time data, sentiment analysis, and external factors for better stock price prediction.

Modern FinanceVol. 2(2)
Shaheed Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto Institute of Science and Technology (PK)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
5.89
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