Analysing the Impact of Global Commodity Prices on the IDX Energy Index

This study aims to analyse the influence of global commodity prices on the energy index prices in Indonesia (IDXENERGY). As proxy of the research this research uses world crude oil prices, world gold prices, and world natural gas prices as the variable of global commodities. The research utilizes monthly time series data from January 2021 to December 2023. The ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) method is employed to model the short-term and long-term relationships between two or more variables. The study finds that, in the short term, world crude oil prices and world gold prices significantly affect the IDXENERGY index, while the world natural gas price variable does not have a significant impact. In the long-term analysis, no variable is found to have a significant influence on the IDXENERGY index.

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Publication Details

Journal
Prosiding Seminar Nasional Forum Manajemen Indonesia - e-ISSN 3026-4499
Published
2024-08-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.47747/snfmi.v2i1.2014
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
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Analysing the Impact of Global Commodity Prices on the IDX Energy Index

Muhammad Bayu Aji Sumantri
Prosiding Seminar Nasional Forum Manajemen Indonesia - e-ISSN 3026-4499
Market Dynamics and Volatility
article

Analysing the Impact of Global Commodity Prices on the IDX Energy Index

Muhammad Bayu Aji Sumantri
article en

Abstract

This study aims to analyse the influence of global commodity prices on the energy index prices in Indonesia (IDXENERGY). As proxy of the research this research uses world crude oil prices, world gold prices, and world natural gas prices as the variable of global commodities. The research utilizes monthly time series data from January 2021 to December 2023. The ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) method is employed to model the short-term and long-term relationships between two or more variables. The study finds that, in the short term, world crude oil prices and world gold prices significantly affect the IDXENERGY index, while the world natural gas price variable does not have a significant impact. In the long-term analysis, no variable is found to have a significant influence on the IDXENERGY index.

Prosiding Seminar Nasional Forum Manajemen Indonesia - e-ISSN 3026-4499Vol. 2
Universitas Widyatama (ID)
Openalex Percentile: Top 82%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
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